Amelia Rajecki vs Alicia DudeneyW50 Dublin Round of 16

W50 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16
#508WTA
1236ELO
1208Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLLWW
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#225WTA
1447ELO
1402Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10
WWWWWWLLLL
Rajecki A.
vs
Dudeney A.

Amelia Rajecki faces Alicia Dudeney in the W50 Dublin round of 16 on hard. Alicia Dudeney is the paper favourite — ranked #225, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage — but Amelia Rajecki has won their only previous meeting.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Rajecki A.16%
Dudeney A.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dudeney A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Amelia Rajecki 3 of 5, Alicia Dudeney 5 of 5 on hard recently — Alicia Dudeney the sharper of late.
  • Head-to-head: Amelia Rajecki leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W35 Aldershot 1 2025.
  • Fatigue load: Alicia Dudeney carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1208
Surface ELO
7.4+194 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1236
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1446
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 48 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rajecki A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Dudeney A.

Dudeney A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rajecki A.

Serve advantage — Dudeney A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-13W35 Aldershot 1R32hardAmelia Rajecki6-3 6-2

Draw