Ymerali Ibraimi vs Jiayang Dong — M15 Brisbane 2 Round of 16
M15 Brisbane 2 · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Ibraimi Y.vs
Dong J.
Ymerali Ibraimi faces Jiayang Dong in the M15 Brisbane 2 round of 16 on hard. Jiayang Dong is the paper favourite — ranked #1087 — but Ymerali Ibraimi arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Jiayang Dong's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTCIbraimi Y.60%
Dong J.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Ibraimi Y. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Ymerali Ibraimi 3 of 6, Jiayang Dong 1 of 6 on hard recently — Ymerali Ibraimi the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Ymerali Ibraimi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
3 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
59%
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1st serve points won·
67%
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2nd serve points won·
46%
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Service points won·
58%
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Return points won·
33%
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Break points saved·
59%
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Aces / match·
2.7
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Double faults / match·
2.0
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.