Zeel Desai vs Edda Mamedova — W15 Astana 3 Round of 16

W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Round of 16
IND3
Zeel Desai
#549WTA
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLWLLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
RUS
Edda Mamedova
#832WTA
19 yrs
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLW
Desai Z.
vs
Mamedova E.

Zeel Desai faces Edda Mamedova in the W15 Astana 3 round of 16 on hard. Zeel Desai holds the paper edge — ranked #549.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Desai Z.61%
Mamedova E.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Desai Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Edda Mamedova dropped just 6 games past A. Malova.
  • Surface form: Zeel Desai 4 of 6, Edda Mamedova 3 of 6 on hard recently — Zeel Desai the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Zeel Desai carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Desai Z.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Mamedova E.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
Desai Z.Mamedova E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
51%
48%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Desai Z.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Mamedova E.

Mamedova E.serving44% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Desai Z.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw