Tom Gentzsch vs Max DahlinBonn Round of 16

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#186ATP
1565ELO
1540Clay ELO
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#1378ATP
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLWWL
Gentzsch T.
vs
Dahlin M.

Tom Gentzsch faces Max Dahlin in the Bonn round of 16 on clay. Tom Gentzsch holds the paper edge — ranked #186.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Gentzsch T.74%
Dahlin M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gentzsch T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
50%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Dominant
69%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gentzsch T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Dahlin M.

Dahlin M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gentzsch T.

Serve advantage — Gentzsch T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
88

Gentzsch T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Dahlin M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
38°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 15%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw