L. Reed vs Fiona Crawley — W75 Lexington Round of 16
W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 16
USAL. Reed
#1076WTA
20 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Reed L.vs
Crawley F.
L. Reed faces Fiona Crawley in the W75 Lexington round of 16 on hard. Fiona Crawley holds the paper edge — ranked #274. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCReed L.7%
Crawley F.93%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Crawley F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Fiona Crawley carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchReed L.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in Usa (84)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
15 matches
Statistics
This seasonReed L.Crawley F.
1st serve in·
—
59%
1st serve points won·
—
63%
2nd serve points won·
—
46%
Service points won·
—
56%
Return points won·
—
49%
Break points saved·
—
58%
Aces / match·
—
0.9
Double faults / match·
—
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 38%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.