R. Da Costa vs Keisuke SaitohM15 Bali 2 Round of 16

M15 Bali 2 · ITF · Round of 16
R. Da Costa
Last 10 · pre-match
WLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#683ATP
25 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWLW
Da Costa R.
6-7 6-7
Saitoh K.
Da Costa R.
64640
Saitoh K.
77772

Keisuke Saitoh defeated R. Da Costa in the Round of 16 at the M15 Bali 2, winning 7-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Saitoh hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 69 percent of his first serves and converting 50 percent of break points. Da Costa had 6 aces, 2 double faults, 57 percent first-serve wins, and 67 percent break point conversions, as both players secured 4 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Keisuke Saitoh won all two sets in tiebreaks against R. Da Costa.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Da Costa R.22%
Saitoh K.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Saitoh K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Da Costa R.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw