Hanna Chang vs J. Tilbuerger — W75 Lexington Round of 16
W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
J. Tilbuerger
Last 10
W
Chang H.vs
Tilbuerger J.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCChang H.85%
Tilbuerger J.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Chang H. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchTilbuerger J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface formFatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in Usa (235)
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
29 matches
Statistics
This seasonChang H.Tilbuerger J.
1st serve in·
56%
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1st serve points won·
64%
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2nd serve points won·
50%
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Service points won·
58%
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Return points won·
48%
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Break points saved·
50%
—
Aces / match·
1.4
—
Double faults / match·
4.0
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 34%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.