Hanna Chang vs Jantje Tilbuerger β€” W75 Lexington Round of 16

W75 Lexington Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#297WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
$29kYTD
$506kCAREER
28 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 β€” 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 Β·
hard
#1150WTA
$935YTD
$20kCAREER
25 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLLLWWLLWW
Chang H.
6-4 6-2
Tilbuerger J.
Chang H.
662
Tilbuerger J.
420

Hanna Chang advanced to the quarterfinals of the W75 Lexington tournament, defeating J. Tilbuerger 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16. Chang hit one ace and four double faults, while Tilbuerger had two aces and three double faults. Chang converted 57% of her break points and won four service breaks to Tilbuerger's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
56%
β€”
1st serve points wonΒ·
64%
β€”
2nd serve points wonΒ·
49%
β€”
Service points wonΒ·
57%
β€”
Return points wonΒ·
48%
β€”
Break points savedΒ·
50%
β€”
Aces / matchΒ·
1.3
β€”
Double faults / matchΒ·
4.0
β€”

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 20:50 UTC
Chang H.85%
Tilbuerger J.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Chang H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in Usa (235)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29Β°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw