J. Chan vs Kristina Penickova — W35 Florence Round of 16
W35 Florence · ITF · Round of 16
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Chan J.vs
Penickova K.
J. Chan faces Kristina Penickova in the W35 Florence round of 16 on hard. Kristina Penickova holds the paper edge — ranked #770. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCChan J.44%
Penickova K.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.7Won 45% in Usa (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
5 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
57%
1st serve points won·
—
61%
2nd serve points won·
—
43%
Service points won·
—
54%
Return points won·
—
48%
Break points saved·
—
55%
Aces / match·
—
2.0
Double faults / match·
—
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 70%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.