Robin Catry vs J. Mas De UgarteM15 Dublin Round of 16

M15 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16
#604ATP
24 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLLWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
J. Mas De Ugarte
#2077ATP
Last 10
W
Catry R.
vs
Mas De Ugarte J.

Robin Catry faces J. Mas De Ugarte in the M15 Dublin round of 16 on hard. Robin Catry holds the paper edge — ranked #604.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Catry R.86%
Mas De Ugarte J.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Catry R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Robin Catry dropped just 4 games past A. Gaule.
  • Fatigue load: J. Mas De Ugarte carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Mas De Ugarte J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 matches

Statistics

This season
Catry R.Mas De Ugarte J.
1st serve in·
56%
1st serve points won·
76%
2nd serve points won·
47%
Service points won·
63%
Return points won·
39%
Break points saved·
60%
Aces / match·
7.4
Double faults / match·
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
16°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw