Boluda vs Tsygourova — W75 Hechingen Round of 16

W75 Hechingen · ITF · Round of 16

ESP3

Angela Fita Boluda

#207WTA

1444ELO

1417Clay ELO

27 yrs

Last 10

WLWWLWWLLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

SUI

Katerina Tsygourova

#426WTA

1207ELO

1186Clay ELO

26 yrs

Last 10

WWLWWLWWWL

Fita Boluda A.

Tsygourova K.

Angela Fita Boluda faces Katerina Tsygourova in the W75 Hechingen round of 16 on clay. Angela Fita Boluda is the paper favourite — ranked #207, a roughly 230-point clay Elo advantage — but Katerina Tsygourova arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on clay to Angela Fita Boluda's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Fita Boluda A.77%

Tsygourova K.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fita Boluda A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Angela Fita Boluda dropped just 5 games past Aurora Zantedeschi.
Last match: Katerina Tsygourova dropped just 4 games past Nagi Hanatani.
Fatigue load: Katerina Tsygourova carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Fita Boluda A.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tsygourova K.

4.6

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.9+231 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.1Clay Elo 1186

8.0Overall Elo 1444

ELO gap

2.0Overall Elo 1207

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.25 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.58 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

9.06-match win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

48 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season

Fita Boluda A.Tsygourova K.

1st serve in·Slight edge

68%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

62%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

46%

Service points won·Even

57%

55%

Return points won·Even

46%

48%

Break points saved·Slight edge

55%

46%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.6

0.7

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.6

2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Fita Boluda A.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Tsygourova K.

Tsygourova K.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Fita Boluda A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

32°CClear

Wind 2 km/hHumidity 28%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Angela Fita Boluda vs Katerina Tsygourova — W75 Hechingen Round of 16