Oliver Bonding vs Ozan BarisM25 Edwardsville Round of 16

M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Round of 16
#930ATP
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLLWWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#486ATP
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWLW
Bonding O.
vs
Baris O.

Oliver Bonding faces Ozan Baris in the M25 Edwardsville round of 16 on hard. Ozan Baris holds the paper edge — ranked #486.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Bonding O.24%
Baris O.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Baris O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Oliver Bonding 4 of 8, Ozan Baris 7 of 8 on hard recently — Ozan Baris the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Oliver Bonding carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.7Won 61% in Usa (72)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
57%
1st serve points won·
79%
2nd serve points won·
50%
Service points won·
67%
Return points won·
30%
Break points saved·
50%
Aces / match·
3.0
Double faults / match·
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw