Samir Banerjee vs Maxwell ExstedM25 Edwardsville Round of 16

M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Round of 16
#494ATP
1384ELO
1361Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#980ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
WLWLLWLWWL
Banerjee S.
vs
Exsted M.

Samir Banerjee faces Maxwell Exsted in the M25 Edwardsville round of 16 on hard. Samir Banerjee is the paper favourite — ranked #494 — but Maxwell Exsted arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Samir Banerjee's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Banerjee S.81%
Exsted M.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Banerjee S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.8Won 63% in Usa (41)
Country comfort
4.7Won 45% in Usa (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
77%
1st serve points won·
66%
2nd serve points won·
65%
Service points won·
66%
Return points won·
42%
Break points saved·
67%
Aces / match·
2.0
Double faults / match·
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Banerjee S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw