Naiktha Bains vs Indianna Spink — W35 Aldershot Round of 16

W35 Aldershot · ITF · Round of 16

GBR6

Naiktha Bains

#379WTA

1354ELO

1349Hard ELO

28 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWWLLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 13:00

hard

GBR

Indianna Spink

#605WTA

1234ELO

1229Hard ELO

23 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLWWWLLW

Bains N.

Spink I.

Naiktha Bains faces Indianna Spink in the W35 Aldershot round of 16 on hard. Naiktha Bains holds the paper edge — ranked #379, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Bains N.77%

Spink I.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bains N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Naiktha Bains handed Jaquelyn Ogunwale a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–1 win.
Surface form: Naiktha Bains 6 of 7, Indianna Spink 5 of 7 on hard recently — Naiktha Bains the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Indianna Spink carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bains N.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Spink I.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.5+120 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.5Hard Elo 1229

6.5Overall Elo 1354

ELO gap

3.5Overall Elo 1234

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.76 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.76 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 4

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season

Bains N.Spink I.

1st serve in·Slight edge

63%

58%

1st serve points won·Even

65%

67%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

50%

39%

Service points won·Slight edge

60%

55%

Return points won·Even

45%

44%

Break points saved·Slight edge

60%

53%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.2

3.3

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.9

8.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Bains N.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Spink I.

Spink I.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Bains N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

25°CPartly cloudy

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.