Francesca Jones vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric — Targu Mures Round of 16
Jones F.
Francesca Jones faces Lucija Ciric Bagaric in the Targu Mures round of 16 on clay. Francesca Jones is the paper favourite — ranked #110, a roughly 370-point clay Elo advantage — but Lucija Ciric Bagaric has won both their previous meetings.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Jones F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Francesca Jones comes in with 2 days of rest and 198 games in 14d, vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric's 2 and 52.
- Last match: Francesca Jones lost just 6 games in a 6–0 1–6 6–0 demolition of Chloe Paquet.
- Last match: Lucija Ciric Bagaric dropped just 3 games past Rachel Gailis.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadJones F.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 111 games (7d) · Ciric Bagaric L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-25 | W35 Hammamet 2 | F | clay | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-17 | W35 Hammamet 1 | SF | clay | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 6-4 0-6 7-6(5) |