Valentina Mediorreal Arias vs Daria Egorova — W35 Pergamino Round of 16
W35 Pergamino · ITF · Round of 16
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
Mediorreal Arias V.vs
Egorova D.
Valentina Mediorreal Arias faces Daria Egorova in the W35 Pergamino round of 16 on clay. Daria Egorova holds the paper edge — ranked #390.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCMediorreal Arias V.11%
Egorova D.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Egorova D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Daria Egorova dropped just 4 games past C. Rodero.
- Last match: Valentina Mediorreal Arias edged Polina Kaibekova in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
- Surface form: Valentina Mediorreal Arias 2 of 6, Daria Egorova 4 of 6 on clay recently — Daria Egorova the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.52 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
8 vs 32 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
35%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
48%
56%
Return points won·Clear edge
37%
52%
Break points saved·Slight edge
37%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
14°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 83%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.