Ya Yi Yang vs Natsuho Arakawa — W15 Brisbane 3 Round of 16
W15 Brisbane 3 · ITF · Round of 16
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Yi Yang Y.5-7 4-6
Arakawa N.
Yi Yang Y.
540
Arakawa N.
762
Natsuho Arakawa defeated Ya Yi Yang in the Round of 16 at the W15 Brisbane 3 tournament, winning 7-5, 6-4 on hard courts. Arakawa converted all 7 of her break points, compared to Yang's 5 of 8, and won 7 service breaks to Yang's 5. Arakawa had 0 aces and 3 double faults, while Yang had 1 ace and 2 double faults.
Key context
- Match story: Natsuho Arakawa edged Ya Yi Yang in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-18 | W50 Caloundra 1 | Q16 | hard | Ya Yi Yang | 6-3 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
38%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
6.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTCYi Yang Y.81%
Arakawa N.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Yi Yang Y. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
2.12 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.13 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 55%