Jack Anthrop vs Donald Young — M25 Edwardsville Round of 16

M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Round of 16
USA
Jack Anthrop
#872ATP
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
USA4
Donald Young
#551ATP
37 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWWLW
Anthrop J.
vs
Young D.

Jack Anthrop faces Donald Young in the M25 Edwardsville round of 16 on hard. Donald Young is the paper favourite — ranked #551 — but Jack Anthrop arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Donald Young's 6.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Anthrop J.37%
Young D.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Young D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Jack Anthrop 8 of 10, Donald Young 6 of 10 on hard recently — Jack Anthrop the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Anthrop J.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Young D.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 9 on hard
Surface form
3.13 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.2Won 53% in Usa (75)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 20 matches

Statistics

Recent form
Anthrop J.Young D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

Recent form
Anthrop J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Young D.

Young D.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Anthrop J.

Serve advantage — Anthrop J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Anthrop J.Young D.
Freshness·
—
92

Young D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw