Gabriele Crivellaro vs Adrian Andreev

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Quarter-final

ITA

Gabriele Crivellaro

#1251ATP

19 yrs

Last 10

WWLWLWLLLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 16:30

clay

BUL

Adrian Andreev

#1148ATP

25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWWLWW

Crivellaro G.

Andreev A.

Gabriele Crivellaro faces Adrian Andreev in the M25 Bolzano quarter-final on clay. Adrian Andreev holds the paper edge — ranked #1148.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC

Crivellaro G.23%

Andreev A.77%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Andreev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Gabriele Crivellaro dropped just 4 games past Gabriele Pennaforti.
Last match: Adrian Andreev dropped just 5 games past M. Plunger.
Fatigue load: Adrian Andreev carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Crivellaro G.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Andreev A.

3.7

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

Surface form

1.62 of last 10 on clay

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

2 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season

Crivellaro G.Andreev A.

1st serve in·Slight edge

58%

67%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

56%

69%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

38%

49%

Service points won·Clear edge

49%

62%

Return points won·Even

41%

38%

Break points saved·Slight edge

43%

50%

Aces / match·Clear edge

3.0

1.3

Double faults / match·Dominant

5.5

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Crivellaro G.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Andreev A.

Andreev A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Crivellaro G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Crivellaro G.Andreev A.

Freshness·

100

—

Crivellaro G.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

27°CClear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 28%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Gabriele Crivellaro vs Adrian Andreev — M25 Bolzano Quarter-final