Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Bonn Round of 16
Squire H.
Henri Squire faces Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Bonn round of 16 on clay. Henri Squire is the paper favourite — ranked #214, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on clay to Henri Squire's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Henri Squire has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 40 vs 5).
- Freshness: Henri Squire comes in with 2 days of rest and 76 games in 14d, vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's 2 and 54.
- Last match: Henri Squire dropped the opening set before beating Clement Tabur 4–6 6–4 6–4.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSquire H.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.