Victoria Allen vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska

W50 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16

GBR

Victoria Allen

#437WTA

1175ELO

1195Hard ELO

25 yrs

Last 10

WLWWLWWWLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 14:30

hard

POL

Zuzanna Pawlikowska

#410WTA

1319ELO

1324Hard ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWWLLWLW

Allen V.

Pawlikowska Z.

Victoria Allen faces Zuzanna Pawlikowska in the W50 Dublin round of 16 on hard. Zuzanna Pawlikowska is the paper favourite — ranked #410, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage — but Victoria Allen arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on hard to Zuzanna Pawlikowska's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Allen V.52%

Pawlikowska Z.48%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Victoria Allen dropped just 5 games past Ann Akasha Ceuca.
Surface form: Victoria Allen 6 of 8, Zuzanna Pawlikowska 4 of 8 on hard recently — Victoria Allen the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Allen V.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Pawlikowska Z.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

3.4Hard Elo 1195

Surface ELO

6.6+129 Hard Elo edge

3.2Overall Elo 1175

ELO gap

6.8Overall Elo 1319

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.24 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

5.05 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Allen V.Pawlikowska Z.

1st serve in·Even

63%

66%

1st serve points won·Even

64%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

43%

Service points won·Even

57%

55%

Return points won·Slight edge

41%

48%

Break points saved·Even

52%

55%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.2

1.2

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.1

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Allen V.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Pawlikowska Z.

Pawlikowska Z.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Allen V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

19°CPartly cloudy

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Victoria Allen vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska — W50 Dublin Round of 16