Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshi — Samsun Round of 16

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

FRA1

Dan Added

#224ATP

1418ELO

1402Hard ELO

27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWWLLWWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 13:30

hard

CENTER COURT · 2nd on

JPNQ

Kenta Miyoshi

#602ATP

1476ELO

1447Hard ELO

22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLLWWWWW

Added D.

Miyoshi K.

Dan Added faces Kenta Miyoshi in the Samsun round of 16 on hard. Dan Added is the paper favourite — ranked #224 — but Kenta Miyoshi arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Dan Added's 6.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC

Added D.55%

Miyoshi K.45%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Dan Added 103 games in 14 days, Kenta Miyoshi 77.
Last match: Kenta Miyoshi dropped just 4 games past Shunsuke Nakagawa.
Surface form: Dan Added 6 of 10, Kenta Miyoshi 8 of 10 on hard recently — Kenta Miyoshi the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Added D.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Miyoshi K.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.4Hard Elo 1402

Surface ELO

5.6+45 Hard Elo edge

4.3Overall Elo 1418

ELO gap

5.7Overall Elo 1476

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.05 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.98 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season

Added D.Miyoshi K.

1st serve in·Even

57%

55%

1st serve points won·Even

67%

69%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

51%

Service points won·Even

59%

61%

Return points won·Slight edge

38%

44%

Break points saved·Slight edge

56%

63%

Aces / match·Slight edge

4.7

4.0

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.4

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Added D.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Miyoshi K.

Miyoshi K.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Added D.

Serve advantage — Miyoshi K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Added D.Miyoshi K.

Freshness·Even

Added D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Miyoshi K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

19°CPartly cloudy

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.