Mary Stoiana vs Peyton StearnsMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#127WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#57WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
Stoiana M.
7-6 0-6 4-6
Stearns P.
Stoiana M.
77041
Stearns P.
65662

Peyton Stearns defeated Mary Stoiana in the Round of 32 at the Memphis tournament on hard courts. Stearns won 6-7, 6-0, 6-4. Stearns hit 5 aces and 10 double faults, winning 71% of first-serve points and converting 50% of break points, while Stoiana had 3 aces, 4 double faults, 60% first-serve win percentage, and 22% break-point conversion; Stearns earned 6 service breaks to Stoiana's 2.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-19W25 Fort WorthR32hardPeyton Stearns2-6 6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Stoiana M.37%
Stearns P.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Stearns P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1567
Surface ELO
7.3+188 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1656
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1804
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Won 67% in Usa (90)
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in Usa (123)
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
87

Stoiana M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Stearns P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw