Mia Slama vs Malaika Rapolu — W75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
USA
Mia Slama
#837WTA
20 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
USA
Malaika Rapolu
#400WTA
1396ELO
1383Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10
WWWWWLWWLW
Slama M.
vs
Rapolu M.

Mia Slama faces Malaika Rapolu in the W75 Lexington round of 32 on hard. Malaika Rapolu is the paper favourite — ranked #400 — but Mia Slama rides a 3-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Slama M.22%
Rapolu M.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rapolu M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Mia Slama 2 of 5, Malaika Rapolu 5 of 5 on hard recently — Malaika Rapolu the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Malaika Rapolu carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Win streak: Mia Slama arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Slama M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Rapolu M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.7Won 45% in Usa (20)
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in Usa (89)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 matches

Statistics

This season
Slama M.Rapolu M.
1st serve in·
—
60%
1st serve points won·
—
64%
2nd serve points won·
—
48%
Service points won·
—
57%
Return points won·
—
49%
Break points saved·
—
57%
Aces / match·
—
2.6
Double faults / match·
—
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw