Camila Osorio vs Anastasia Zakharova

Memphis · WTA · Round of 16

COL5

Camila Osorio

#52WTA

1807ELO

1780Hard ELO

24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLWWLWW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 29 July 2026 · 10:00

hard

RUS

Anastasia Zakharova

#102WTA

1742ELO

1714Hard ELO

24 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWLLWWW

Osorio C.

Zakharova A.

Camila Osorio faces Anastasia Zakharova in the Memphis round of 16 on hard. Camila Osorio holds the paper edge — ranked #52, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Osorio C.51%

Zakharova A.49%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Camila Osorio comes in with 0 days of rest and 24 games in 14d, vs Anastasia Zakharova's 1 and 111.
Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Anastasia Zakharova grades 15 on serve, Camila Osorio 69 on return.
Last match: Camila Osorio edged S. Hunter in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).

Common opponents

Last 12 months

6 common opponents · Osorio C. 3–5 · Zakharova A. 2–5

Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Osorio C.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Zakharova A.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.8+66 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.2Hard Elo 1714

5.8Overall Elo 1807

ELO gap

4.2Overall Elo 1742

5.0First meeting on hard

H2H

5.0First meeting on hard

6.97 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.78 of last 10 on hard

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Osorio C.Zakharova A.

1st serve in·Slight edge

64%

69%

1st serve points won·Even

64%

62%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

43%

48%

Service points won·Even

57%

Return points won·Even

47%

44%

Break points saved·Even

56%

53%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.7

0.9

Double faults / match·Dominant

5.6

2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Osorio C.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Zakharova A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Osorio C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Osorio C.Zakharova A.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Slight edge

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Osorio C.Zakharova A.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load

Osorio C.Zakharova A.

Freshness·Even

Osorio C.: played today · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Zakharova A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

28°COvercast

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-04-21	Madrid	R128	clay	Camila Osorio	6-0 6-3

Camila Osorio vs Anastasia Zakharova — Memphis Round of 16

Win Probability

Key context

Common opponents

Umpiry Score

Statistics

Serve vs return

Clutch

Serve & return on hard

Freshness

Conditions

Head to head

Draw

Serve & return on hard