Jiri Lehecka vs Coleman WongLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#12ATP
1922ELO
1882Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#112ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLLLL
Lehecka J.
vs
Wong C.

Jiri Lehecka faces Coleman Wong in the Los Cabos round of 16 on hard. Jiri Lehecka holds the paper edge — ranked #12, a roughly 290-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Lehecka J.80%
Wong C.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lehecka J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Jiri Lehecka comes in with 21 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Coleman Wong's 5 and 86.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jiri Lehecka has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 77 vs 42).

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Lehecka J. 4–1 · Wong C. 2–3
Lehecka J. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.6+289 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1593
9.0Overall Elo 1922
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1602
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.3
8.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lehecka J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Wong C.

Wong C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Lehecka J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
91
Break points won·Dominant
42
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
43
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Lehecka J.: 21 days rest · Wong C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw