James Story vs Rhys Lawlor β€” M25 Aldershot Round of 32

M25 Aldershot Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#656ATP
$3kYTD
$69kCAREER
25 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
2 β€” 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 Β·
hard
#1550ATP
17 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
Story J.
6-7 6-3 6-3
Lawlor R.
Story J.
69662
Lawlor R.
711331

James Story defeated Rhys Lawlor in the Round of 32 at the M25 Aldershot tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Story. Story hit 8 aces and 2 double faults, while Lawlor had 6 aces and 11 double faults; Story converted 56% of break points and broke Lawlor's serve 5 times, compared to Lawlor's 2 service breaks and 33% break point conversion.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
66%
β€”
1st serve points wonΒ·
54%
β€”
2nd serve points wonΒ·
56%
β€”
Service points wonΒ·
55%
β€”
Return points wonΒ·
36%
β€”
Break points savedΒ·
54%
β€”
Aces / matchΒ·
4.4
β€”
Double faults / matchΒ·
1.4
β€”

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 11:50 UTC
Story J.72%
Lawlor R.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Story J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32Β°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw