Mark Lajal vs Evan Zhu — Vancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
EST8
Mark Lajal
#159ATP
1589ELO
1556Hard ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
USAQ
Evan Zhu
#600ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Lajal M.
6-3 6-2
Zhu E.
Lajal M.
662
Zhu E.
320

Mark Lajal defeated Evan Zhu in the Round of 32 of the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-2. Lajal served four aces and committed seven double faults, while converting 44% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points. He converted four service breaks to Zhu's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Lajal M.Zhu E.
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
70%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Lajal M.Zhu E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
10
Break points saved·Dominant
89
31
Break points won·Slight edge
13
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
42
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Lajal M.78%
Zhu E.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lajal M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Zhu E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Lajal M.Zhu E.
Freshness·Slight edge
79
74

Lajal M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Zhu E.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw