Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint — Memphis Round of 16

Memphis · WTA · Round of 16
RUS
Kristina Liutova
#229WTA
1681ELO
1592Hard ELO
16 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
Maya Joint
AUS
Maya Joint
#76WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLLLW
Liutova K.
vs
Joint M.

Kristina Liutova faces Maya Joint in the Memphis round of 16 on hard. Maya Joint is the paper favourite — ranked #76, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Kristina Liutova rides a 13-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Liutova K.38%
Joint M.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Joint M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Liutova K. 1–0 · Joint M. 0–1 · small sample
Liutova K. better · same surface · 12 months apart · ⚠ retirement-shortened match▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Liutova K.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Joint M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
5.8+65 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
10.013-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in Usa (43)
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (37)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 10 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
Liutova K.Joint M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Clear edge
53%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Liutova K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Liutova K.

Serve advantage — Liutova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Liutova K.Joint M.
Freshness·Even
77
75

Liutova K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Joint M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw