Hina Inoue vs Olivia Lincer — W75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
USA4
Hina Inoue
#282WTA
1355ELO
1335Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWLLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
USA
Olivia Lincer
#721WTA
21 yrs
Last 10
LLLWLWLLLW
Inoue H.
vs
Lincer O.

Hina Inoue faces Olivia Lincer in the W75 Lexington round of 32 on hard. Hina Inoue holds the paper edge — ranked #282.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Inoue H.93%
Lincer O.7%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Inoue H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Hina Inoue carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Hina Inoue 5 of 9, Olivia Lincer 3 of 9 on hard recently — Hina Inoue the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Inoue H.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Lincer O.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.2Won 54% in Usa (71)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
Inoue H.Lincer O.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
52%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
47%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
42%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Inoue H.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Lincer O.

Lincer O.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Inoue H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Inoue H.Lincer O.
Freshness·
—
100

Lincer O.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw