Ymerali Ibraimi vs Duje MarkovinaM15 Brisbane 2 Round of 32

M15 Brisbane 2 · ITF · Round of 32
#1448ATP
17 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLLWWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#1068ATP
18 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLLWLWL
Ibraimi Y.
vs
Markovina D.

Ymerali Ibraimi faces Duje Markovina in the M15 Brisbane 2 round of 32 on hard. Duje Markovina holds the paper edge — ranked #1068, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Ibraimi Y.43%
Markovina D.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Duje Markovina carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Duje Markovina leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Hamilton 1 2025.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
Surface form
1.91 of last 6 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
41%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
23%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
8.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ibraimi Y.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Markovina D.

Markovina D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ibraimi Y.

Serve advantage — Ibraimi Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-12-11M15 Hamilton 1R16hardDuje Markovina6-4 6-3

Draw