Alexa Noel vs Weronika FalkowskaW50 Dublin Round of 32

W50 Dublin · ITF · Round of 32
#900WTA
23 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#330WTA
1253ELO
1259Hard ELO
26 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
Noel A.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Falkowska W.
Noel A.
46782
Falkowska W.
63661

Alexa Noel defeated Weronika Falkowska in the Round of 32 at the W50 Dublin tournament, coming back from a set down to win 4-6, 6-3, 7-6. The match saw both players hit five aces, with Noel committing three double faults to Falkowska's eight. Both players converted four service breaks, but Noel won 75% of her first-serve points to Falkowska's 66%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
60%
1st serve points won·
65%
2nd serve points won·
46%
Service points won·
58%
Return points won·
50%
Break points saved·
53%
Aces / match·
2.4
Double faults / match·
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Noel A.13%
Falkowska W.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Falkowska W. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Falkowska W.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw