Sebastian Gorzny vs Maxwell Exsted — M25 Edwardsville
M25 Edwardsville · ITF
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Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
Gorzny S.vs
Exsted M.
Sebastian Gorzny faces Maxwell Exsted in the M25 Edwardsville match on hard. Sebastian Gorzny holds the paper edge — ranked #883. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCGorzny S.67%
Exsted M.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Gorzny S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Sebastian Gorzny carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 2 of 5 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
2 matches
Statistics
Recent form1st serve in·
—
73%
1st serve points won·
—
60%
2nd serve points won·
—
46%
Service points won·
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56%
Return points won·
—
30%
Break points saved·
—
33%
Aces / match·
—
1.5
Double faults / match·
—
1.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.