Yuka Hosoki vs Ingkar Dyussebay — W15 Astana 3 Round of 32

W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Round of 32

JPN

Yuka Hosoki

#1256WTA

27 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLLWLWLLW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 29 July 2026 · 07:00

hard

KAZ

Ingkar Dyussebay

#1295WTA

19 yrs

Last 10

LLWWLWLWLW

Hosoki Y.

Dyussebay I.

Yuka Hosoki faces Ingkar Dyussebay in the W15 Astana 3 round of 32 on hard. Yuka Hosoki is the paper favourite — ranked #1256 — but Ingkar Dyussebay arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on hard to Yuka Hosoki's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC

Hosoki Y.40%

Dyussebay I.60%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dyussebay I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Yuka Hosoki's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Ingkar Dyussebay's has cooled.
Surface form: Yuka Hosoki 3 of 8, Ingkar Dyussebay 4 of 8 on hard recently — Ingkar Dyussebay the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Hosoki Y.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Dyussebay I.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.13 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.14 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season

Hosoki Y.Dyussebay I.

1st serve in·Slight edge

60%

51%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

52%

64%

2nd serve points won·Even

42%

46%

Service points won·Slight edge

48%

55%

Return points won·Even

45%

49%

Break points saved·Slight edge

47%

55%

Aces / match·Dominant

0.1

3.3

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.1

7.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Hosoki Y.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Dyussebay I.

Dyussebay I.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Hosoki Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°CClear

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.