Francesca Curmi vs Francisca Jorge — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
MLT
Francesca Curmi
#236WTA
1580ELO
1567Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
Francisca Jorge
POR7
Francisca Jorge
#232WTA
1525ELO
1435Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Curmi F.
6-1 6-1
Jorge F.
Curmi F.
662
Jorge F.
110

Francesca Curmi defeated Francisca Jorge in the Round of 32 at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-1 in favor of Curmi. Curmi converted 75% of her break points and secured six service breaks, compared to Jorge's one service break and 50% break point conversion.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-11BJK Cup G2 RR: POR vs MLTRRclayFrancesca Curmi6-3 6-4
2022-09-28W25 LisbonR32clayFrancesca Curmi6-2 3-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
Curmi F.Jorge F.
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
50%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Curmi F.59%
Jorge F.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Curmi F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Curmi F.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Jorge F.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+132 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1435
5.7Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1525
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw