Hanna Chang vs A. ShcherbininaW75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
#295WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#569WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Chang H.
6-4 6-0
Shcherbinina A.
Chang H.
662
Shcherbinina A.
400

Hanna Chang defeated A. Shcherbinina 6-4, 6-0 in the Round of 32 at the W75 Lexington tournament. Chang hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 69% of her first serves and converting 50% of break points. She broke Shcherbinina's serve 6 times, compared to 2 breaks conceded.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-19W35 Dallas, TxFhardHanna Chang6-2 4-6 4-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
56%
1st serve points won·
64%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
48%
Break points saved·
50%
Aces / match·
1.3
Double faults / match·
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Chang H.78%
Shcherbinina A.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chang H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in Usa (234)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw