N. Podoroska vs Sara Cakarevic — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
Podoroska N.vs
Cakarevic S.
N. Podoroska faces Sara Cakarevic in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 32 on clay. N. Podoroska is the paper favourite — ranked #531, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Sara Cakarevic arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay to N. Podoroska's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCPodoroska N.91%
Cakarevic S.9%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Podoroska N. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Sara Cakarevic's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while N. Podoroska's has cooled.
- Last match: Sara Cakarevic dropped just 4 games past Elena Milovanovic.
- Fatigue load: Sara Cakarevic carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H5.0First meeting on clay
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
7 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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64%
1st serve points won·
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55%
2nd serve points won·
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39%
Service points won·
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49%
Return points won·
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42%
Break points saved·
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56%
Aces / match·
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2.0
Double faults / match·
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2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
94
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Podoroska N.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 37%
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-01 | W25 Santa Margherita Di Pula | Q16 | clay | N. Podoroska | 6-3 1-6 10-5 |