Lizette Cabrera vs Sofia CostoulasVancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#298WTA
1453ELO
1418Hard ELO
28 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 2nd on
#158WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Cabrera L.
2-6 2-6
Costoulas S.
Cabrera L.
220
Costoulas S.
662

Sofia Costoulas defeated Lizette Cabrera in the Round of 32 of the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2. Costoulas and Cabrera were even in aces, but Cabrera committed more double faults. Costoulas won the match with a higher first-serve win percentage and more efficient break point conversion, securing five service breaks to Cabrera's one.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-21W50 Caloundra 1R32hardSofia Costoulas7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
49%
53%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
83
Break points saved·Dominant
9
83
Break points won·Clear edge
69
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
96
Tiebreaks·
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Cabrera L.41%
Costoulas S.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Costoulas S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1418
Surface ELO
6.9+151 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1453
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1565
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Cabrera L.: 21 days rest · Costoulas S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw