Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyer — Los Cabos Round of 16
Cerundolo F.
Francisco Cerundolo faces Tristan Boyer in the Los Cabos round of 16 on hard. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #22, a roughly 360-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cerundolo F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Francisco Cerundolo has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 87 vs Tristan Boyer's 43).
- Fatigue load: Francisco Cerundolo carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBoyer T.: played today · 4 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.