Jack Satterfield vs Oliver Bonding — M25 Edwardsville
M25 Edwardsville · ITF
—
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
Satterfield J.vs
Bonding O.
Jack Satterfield faces Oliver Bonding in the M25 Edwardsville match on hard. Oliver Bonding holds the paper edge — ranked #930. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCSatterfield J.40%
Bonding O.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Bonding O. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
2 vs 4 matches
Statistics
Recent form1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
29%
33%
Break points saved·Dominant
33%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
Recent formEven serve battle
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.