H. Sakagawa vs Karim Bennani — M25 Edwardsville Round of 32
M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Round of 32
JPNH. Sakagawa
#1853ATP
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
Sakagawa H.1-6 4-6
Bennani K.
Sakagawa H.
140
Bennani K.
662
Karim Bennani defeated H. Sakagawa in the Round of 32 at the M25 Edwardsville tournament. Bennani won the match 6-1, 6-4, recording 3 aces and 3 double faults. He converted all 4 of his break points and won 81% of his first-serve points.
Key context
- Match story: Karim Bennani dropped just 5 games past H. Sakagawa.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonSakagawa H.Bennani K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
78%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCSakagawa H.22%
Bennani K.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Bennani K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchSakagawa H.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
7.05 of last 7 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0Won 50% in Usa (20)
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.