Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz BasilashviliSan Marino Round of 16

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#264ATP
1471ELO
1442Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#132ATP
1672ELO
1635Clay ELO
$329kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLW
Poljicak M.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Basilashvili N.
Poljicak M.
68662
Basilashvili N.
710341

Mili Poljicak defeated Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Round of 16 at the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-7, 6-3, 6-4. Poljicak hit 10 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Basilashvili had 5 aces and 10 double faults. Poljicak converted 38% of break points and won 6 service breaks to Basilashvili's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
54
Break points saved·Even
77
79
Break points won·Clear edge
7
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
84
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
69
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Poljicak M.54%
Basilashvili N.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1442
Surface ELO
7.4+194 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1471
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Poljicak M.: 21 days rest · Basilashvili N.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw