Haruna Arakawa vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner — W15 Astana 3 Round of 32
W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Round of 32
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
Arakawa H.6-3 6-7 3-6
Marlies Rothensteiner L.
Arakawa H.
66331
Marlies Rothensteiner L.
37762
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner defeated Haruna Arakawa in the Round of 32 at the W15 Astana 3 tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Rothensteiner. She hit 4 aces and 7 double faults, while converting 38% of break points and winning 66% of first-serve points.
Key context
- Match story: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner dropped the opening set before beating Haruna Arakawa 3–6 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
61%
1st serve points won·
—
50%
2nd serve points won·
—
34%
Service points won·
—
44%
Return points won·
—
35%
Break points saved·
—
53%
Aces / match·
—
1.0
Double faults / match·
—
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTCArakawa H.75%
Marlies Rothensteiner L.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Arakawa H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form1.32 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 43%