Haruna Arakawa vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner β€” W15 Astana 3 Round of 32

W15 Astana 3 Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#856WTA
$2kYTD
$142kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
1 β€” 2
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 Β·
hard
#1277WTA
$4kYTD
$18kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLLWLLLLW
Arakawa H.
6-3 6-7 3-6
Marlies Rothensteiner L.
Arakawa H.
66331
Marlies Rothensteiner L.
37762

Liel Marlies Rothensteiner defeated Haruna Arakawa in the Round of 32 at the W15 Astana 3 tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Rothensteiner. She hit 4 aces and 7 double faults, while converting 38% of break points and winning 66% of first-serve points.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
β€”
62%
1st serve points wonΒ·
β€”
54%
2nd serve points wonΒ·
β€”
35%
Service points wonΒ·
β€”
47%
Return points wonΒ·
β€”
39%
Break points savedΒ·
β€”
49%
Aces / matchΒ·
β€”
1.0
Double faults / matchΒ·
β€”
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 04:50 UTC
Arakawa H.75%
Marlies Rothensteiner L.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Arakawa H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.32 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23Β°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw