Michael Agwi vs Zach Stephens — M15 Dublin Round of 32

M15 Dublin · ITF · Round of 32
IRL4
Michael Agwi
#795ATP
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLLWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
GBR
Zach Stephens
#1045ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLLWWLW
Agwi M.
vs
Stephens Z.

Michael Agwi faces Zach Stephens in the M15 Dublin round of 32 on hard. Michael Agwi holds the paper edge — ranked #795.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Agwi M.80%
Stephens Z.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Agwi M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Michael Agwi 2 of 5, Zach Stephens 0 of 5 on hard recently — Michael Agwi the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Michael Agwi carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Agwi M.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Stephens Z.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 4 matches

Statistics

Recent form
Agwi M.Stephens Z.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

Recent form
Agwi M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Stephens Z.

Stephens Z.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Agwi M.

Serve advantage — Stephens Z.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw