Braden Shick vs Renta TokudaVancouver Qualifying Final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#219ATP
1385ELO
1358Hard ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
Sets
Walkover
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#456ATP
1224ELO
1197Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLWWW
Shick B.
vs
Tokuda R.

Braden Shick won the final of the Vancouver hard-court tournament via a walkover after opponent Renta Tokuda withdrew before the match. As a result, no play was contested and no statistics were recorded. Shick was declared the winner.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Shick B.50%
Tokuda R.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+161 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1197
7.0Overall Elo 1384
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1224
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Shick B.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw