Salazar vs Urrutia — W35 Pergamino Round of 32

W35 Pergamino · ITF · Round of 32

MEX

Natalia Sousa Salazar

#897WTA

20 yrs

Last 10

LWLWLWWLLW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 28 July 2026 · 16:00

clay

ARG5

Maria Florencia Urrutia

#426WTA

25 yrs

Last 10

LWLLWLWWLW

Sousa Salazar N.

Florencia Urrutia M.

Natalia Sousa Salazar faces Maria Florencia Urrutia in the W35 Pergamino round of 32 on clay. Maria Florencia Urrutia holds the paper edge — ranked #426.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Sousa Salazar N.15%

Florencia Urrutia M.85%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Florencia Urrutia M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Natalia Sousa Salazar rising, Maria Florencia Urrutia cooling.
Fatigue load: Maria Florencia Urrutia carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · Sousa Salazar N. 0–1 · Florencia Urrutia M. 0–1 · small sample

Both lost · same surface, 14 days apart▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Sousa Salazar N.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Florencia Urrutia M.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.33 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.35 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

6.0Hard → Clay

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

9 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season

Sousa Salazar N.Florencia Urrutia M.

1st serve in·Clear edge

64%

77%

1st serve points won·Even

52%

54%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

35%

46%

Service points won·Slight edge

46%

52%

Return points won·Even

47%

49%

Break points saved·Slight edge

44%

50%

Aces / match·Even

0.3

0.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

5.6

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Sousa Salazar N.serving22% hold

wins 38% of points on serve vs Florencia Urrutia M.

Florencia Urrutia M.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Sousa Salazar N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Maria Florencia Urrutia — W35 Pergamino Round of 32