Julieta Pareja vs Xiyu Wang — Washington Round of 32
Washington · WTA · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
Pareja J.vs
Wang X.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTCPareja J.28%
Wang X.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Wang X. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1452
Surface ELO8.4+272 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1506
ELO gap8.3Overall Elo 1772
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form8.99 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count6.5Won 75% in Usa (40)
Country comfortSurface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
11 vs 23 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
54%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Wang X.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 87%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.