Kenta Miyoshi vs Shunsuke NakagawaSamsun Round of 32

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#495ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#957ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWLW
Miyoshi K.
6-2 6-2
Nakagawa S.
Miyoshi K.
662
Nakagawa S.
220

Kenta Miyoshi defeated Shunsuke Nakagawa in the Round of 32 at the Samsun hard-court tournament. Miyoshi won the match 6-2, 6-2. He hit 6 aces to Nakagawa's 2 and converted 40% of his break points, securing 4 service breaks to Nakagawa's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Miyoshi K.68%
Nakagawa S.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Miyoshi K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
62

Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw