Trevor Svajda vs Jakub MensikWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#435ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWWL
Svajda T.
vs
Mensik J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Svajda T.14%
Mensik J.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Svajda T. 1–1 · Mensik J. 2–1 · small sample
Mensik J. better · same surface, 21 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1450
Surface ELO
10.0+442 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1485
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.5Won 75% in Usa (53)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
64%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Clear edge
55%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
12.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Svajda T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Svajda T.

Serve advantage — Mensik J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Svajda T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw