Michele Mecarelli vs Vladyslav Orlov — M25 Bolzano Round of 32
M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
Mecarelli M.vs
Orlov V.
Michele Mecarelli faces Vladyslav Orlov in the M25 Bolzano round of 32 on clay. Vladyslav Orlov holds the paper edge — ranked #426.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTCMecarelli M.27%
Orlov V.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Orlov V. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Michele Mecarelli 3 of 8, Vladyslav Orlov 7 of 8 on clay recently — Vladyslav Orlov the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Vladyslav Orlov carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
3 vs 17 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
52%
52%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
70%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.